Appendix
The Multiples
1 October · London & New York · As of Close Thu 1 Oct
Cheap is a rate. The yield gap is still not on file. The working paper behind Ex-US value. Last-scan relatives, not a borrowed CAPE table.
A weak dollar is necessary for the discount to close. The week of 17 to 21 August printed the condition and not the basket.
KillIf the valuation gap narrows materially during a strong-dollar stretch, our conditionality is wrong.
Multi-asset
US, ex-US, rates, FX. Session marks only. As of Close Thu 1 Oct.
Indices
- S&P 5001 Oct7,666.5+0.19%
- Nasdaq 1001 Oct30,501.6+0.31%
- Euro Stoxx 501 Oct6,175.5−1.49%
- FTSE 1001 Oct10,428.3−1.68%
- Nikkei 2251 Oct68,956.7+3.30%
- Hang Seng30 Sep24,613.3+0.37%
FX
- DXY1 Oct102.05+0.59%
Rates
- US 10Y1 Oct5.24%−5 bp
Session relative · US vs the rest of the prints
- Nikkei 225 +3.30% at 68,956.7
- S&P 500 +0.19% at 7,666.5
- Euro Stoxx 50 −1.49% at 6,175.5
- FTSE 100 −1.68% at 10,428.3
The S&P is 1 Oct. This is the 1 Oct 2026 session, not a valuation. The article that says so is The ex-US discount needs a weak dollar.
Regional yield panel
US, Europe, and Japan free-cash-flow yield, side by side. What would fill this: a dated panel we compute ourselves. We will not borrow a broker table and stamp it as ours.
Read the full theme on Ex-US value.